Struck by Another Nor'easter? Maybe. Maybe Not.

March 9, 2018, 9:38 am

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A nor’easter is developing for Monday, but whether we’ll see any effects remains unclear at this point.

Several computer models that we rely on to forecast an impending storm’s track are not in agreement.

For example: One model swings the nor’easter farther off the coast, while another brings it closer to our area. The divergent tracks would result in vastly different effects ranging from just clouds to heavy snow.

We expect to have a clearer picture by Saturday, but we wanted to share what we know right now so you're prepared for whatever may come.

Here’s what we know right now:

A nor'easter will form, but how far out to sea will it spin? There's no doubt that the system is coming. The real linchpin is how close to the New Jersey coast the storm tracks. Closer means rain, snow and wind for us. Farther means some clouds or maybe no clouds at all.

The storm will visit the area on Monday. Whether far out to sea or near the beaches, we'll kick off the week with another nor'easter.

The pattern is the same. The past two nor'easters have developed in five day cycles. This storm is following the same pattern.

Here's what we don't know:

What time on Monday would be the worst time to travel?

Will there be snow? If so, how much?

What parts of the area will be hardest hit?

When will we break out of this pattern?

Since there's still a lot of uncertainty with this storm, it's important that you check back with us a few times over the weekend. We'll certainly be updating our forecast as often as possible.

Download the free NBC10 app to stay up-to-date. We'll send you alerts on major updates on the storm as we get them. Tap here to download.

Photo Credit: Getty Images

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Slowly the Lights Coming Back on After Storm

March 9, 2018, 10:21 am

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Thousands of people in Bucks County lost power due to the recent winter storms. Cars and properties also were damaged.

Man, 45, Signed Girl Out of School 10 Times, Both Now Gone

March 9, 2018, 3:00 pm

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A 45-year-old man managed to sign a 16-year-old girl out of her Pennsylvania school 10 times in the last few months and now the two are missing, police said.

Kevin Esterly and Amy Yu disappeared from the Lehigh Valley on Monday with cash and some sort of paperwork, according to police.

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"They're probably together somewhere," Colonial Regional Police Detective Gary Hammer said.

As of Friday evening, both were still missing, police said. The U.S. Marshal's Office and agents with the FBI are now assisting with the search.

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Esterly and Yu apparently had a secret relationship for months, and investigators said Yu may even have gone on family vacations with Esterly. He is married with two children.

According to a warrant issued after the two disappeared, Esterly signed Yu out of school 10 times between Nov. 13 and Feb. 9 without her parents' permission.

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Investigators said it now appears that the girl may have added Esterly to her school emergency contact list as a stepfather. That, they said, would have allowed him to remove the girl from school.

"That's when they came to find out that this young lady had added this gentleman, this Kevin Esterly, as a stepfather on school records," Hammer told NBC10.

Police said Yu's mother called Feb. 9 to report Esterly had signed her child out of Lehigh Valley Academy earlier that day.

CEO Susan Mauser did say the school has a procedure for signing out a student that only allows a person on the student's emergency contact list to take the student from school. She said the school is investigating whether that procedure was followed.

"We can confirm that Mr. Esterly was last present on school grounds on February 9, 2018," Mauser said in a statement. "After that date, due to circumstances we cannot disclose pursuant to student privacy constraints, he was prohibited from entering school grounds, and the police were to be notified if he returned."

On Feb. 15, records show police told Esterly to stay away from the teen's home.

Esterly may be driving a 1999 two-door, red Honda Accord with the license plate KLT-0529. Anyone with information about either person's whereabouts should call Allentown police at 610-437-7751 or by dialing 911.

Photo Credit: Allentown Police

Help to 'Step Into College'

March 9, 2018, 10:50 am

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The University of the Sciences will be hosting the Step into College conference Saturday.

Suicide Prevention Gala Looks to 'Save a Life'

March 9, 2018, 11:42 am

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The American Foundation for Suicide Prevention is holding the Save a Life Gala in Philadelphia.

Busy, Snow-Free Weekend in Philadelphia

March 9, 2018, 6:07 pm

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After Wednesday's storm gripped our region, plenty of people are ready to spend their weekend enjoying the outdoors and everything Philadelphia has to offer. 

NBC10 First Alert Weather: Snow-Free Weekend

March 9, 2018, 5:06 pm

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This weekend won't bring any snow to our region, but our NBC10 weather team is keeping a close eye on a potential storm early in your work week. NBC10 meteorologist Glenn "Hurricane" Schwartz explains.

Guns, Drugs Seized in New Jersey Drug Bust

March 9, 2018, 5:15 pm

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Investigators seized cars, drugs, and guns after a major drug highway bust in Ocean County that stretched overseas. The bust resulted in 28 arrests.

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One Killed After Train and Car Collide in Hammonton

March 9, 2018, 2:49 pm

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One person was killed after a train and a car collided in Hammonton on Friday afternoon. Investigators are now working to determine the cause of the crash.

Daylight Saving Time Sparks Debate

March 9, 2018, 5:04 pm

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This weekend you'll need to adjust your clocks for Daylight Saving Time, but some people aren't happy about the adjustment. The time-adjustment has sparked debate among those who support it and those who wish to do away with it.

Allentown Mayor Resigns After Corruption Conviction

March 9, 2018, 2:58 pm

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Ed Pawlowski, the longtime mayor of Allentown, resigned Friday from office following his conviction earlier this month on dozens of federal corruption charges.

He officially stepped down at 5 p.m., ceding to City Council President Roger MacLean. His resignation was required. Under Allentown's city charter, an elected official found guilty of a 2nd degree misdemeanor or felony must relinquish his or her office.

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Prosecutors successfully argued Pawlowski strong-armed city vendors for campaign cash in a wide-ranging scheme meant to fuel his political ambitions for statewide office.

A federal jury convicted him on 47 of 52 charges, including conspiracy, bribery, fraud, attempted extortion and lying to the FBI on March 1. Sentencing has not been scheduled.

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Federal prosecutors had urged Pawlowski to resign immediately, calling him unfit to serve even before a jury determined he had sold his office to campaign donors.

"He couldn't serve the people before, he can't serve the people after he's been convicted, and a jury has spoken and he is facing many, many years in jail," U.S. Attorney Louis Lappen said at a news conference in Philadelphia earlier this month. "He needs to get his affairs in order and address his criminal situation and leave the city in the hands of somebody who's not corrupted."

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Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf said he wanted Pawlowski gone too.

"He has disgraced his office and cheated the people of Allentown," said Wolf's spokesman, J.J. Abbott.

The Chicago native led his adopted city for 12 years and was re-elected to a fourth term while under indictment.

The conviction was a "devastating blow" to Pawlowski, who respected the jury's verdict but continues to maintain his innocence, his attorney Jack McMahon said.

"He totally believes he never did anything wrong," the Philadelphia-based attorney said. "This is a guy that I've come to know pretty well, and he's a pretty good guy. I've been around a lot of crooks in my life and this is not one that I feel that way about."

Pawlowski was Allentown's economic development chief before taking office as mayor in January 2006. The city's moribund downtown was transformed on his watch, with valuable state tax incentives producing a new hockey arena, gleaming office buildings and upscale apartments.

He kept up appearances throughout the 5 1/2-week trial, responding to emails, texts and phone calls about official city business, signing documents and running a weekly meeting. Pawlowski showed up at City Hall — a block from the federal courthouse where he stood trial — a few times a week.

Now Allentown, Pennsylvania's third-largest city that is home to 120,000 citizens, will need a new leader barely two months after Pawlowski began a new term.

Under the city charter, the City Council president will serve as mayor until council appoints an interim mayor, who will serve until the November 2019 municipal election.

Council President Roger MacLean, Allentown's former police chief, said he's ready to take the helm and help the city "put this in the past" once Pawlowski steps down.

"Has he done some good for the city? Sure, I wouldn't take that away from him," MacLean said of Pawlowski. "Evidently in this case, ambition might have clouded things and that's the way the jury saw it. They understood what was going on."

Photo Credit: NBC10 - Steven Fisher

Sick of Snow? Here Are 9 Things to Do in Philly This Weekend

March 9, 2018, 2:05 pm

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After being cooped up during recent winter storms, step outside your house this weekend to enjoy these Philadelphia-area places and events.

Photo Credit: Joseph Kaczmarek

Police Looking for Driver in Deadly Hit-and-Run

March 9, 2018, 5:37 pm

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A man who went out to get something to eat is now dead after a hit-and-run driver struck him in a crosswalk. Fred Gitterman, 69, was crossing Lancaster Avenue in Radnor on Tuesday night around 8 p.m. when he was struck, and now police are searching for the driver who sped off after hitting Gitterman.

Delaware County police released surveillance video of the suspect's vehicle, hoping it would help them locate the driver.

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Police are looking for a 2016 or later model white GMC Yukon SUV with damage around the driver’s side headlight and front fender area. The full sized SUV struck Gitterman on Lancaster Avenue, then later was seen turning onto Paoli Pike toward West Chester.

District Attorney Katelyn Copeland announced a $10,000 reward being offered for information leading to the arrest and conviction of the driver involved. Anybody with information is asked to contact the Radnor Police Department.

YOUR PHOTOS: 2nd March Nor'easter Strikes Philly Region

March 7, 2018, 4:36 pm

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Photo Credit: Alex Meyer

NJ School Bus Driver Drives Over Downed Wires

March 9, 2018, 8:33 pm

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Neighbors in Camden County want answers after they captured video of a school bus driver driving over and moving downed wires during the last winter storm... with a bus full of children.

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NBC10 First Alert Weather: Hanging Outdoors Finally an Option

March 10, 2018, 4:38 am

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We start this Saturday morning off in the high 20's but we are in for a nice little warm up over the weekend. NBC10 First Alert Weather meteorologist Krystal Klei gives us updates on another possible snow storm that could be heading our way.

Green After All the Snow: Saint Patrick's Day Parades Galore

March 10, 2018, 4:51 am

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You can enjoy the nice weather with several events this weekend. The Philadelphia Flower Show is still going on, the big Saint Patrick’s Day parade is tomorrow beginning at City Hall, and Fox and Maple Day is in West Philly today where you can actually tap maple trees for sap.

NBC10 First Alert: Another Storm on the Horizon?

March 10, 2018, 10:04 am

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While it may look like Spring outside, the temperatures are reminding us it's still winter. NBC10 First Alert Weather meteorologist is watching a clear sunny forecast after the two nor'easters we faced, but there is another storm on the horizon. Will it hit our region?

Nor’easter or Not? Next System Remains a Tough Forecast

March 10, 2018, 10:15 am

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We’re tracking yet another coastal storm to develop Monday. This system has been more difficult to forecast than the last two, due to a lack of model agreement across the board. Even from model to model, each update WITHIN the model has been varied (meteorologists call these “runs” and they happen anywhere from multiple times a day to twice a day depending on the model).

Here’s a summary of the NBC10 First Alert Weather Team’s current thoughts:

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The storm will pass our coast Monday through Tuesday. This we’re certain about.

The track of the storm is trending farther away from the Jersey Shore than both of the previous Nor’Easters, but we question how much farther away. Some models say A LOT, others say just barely.

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At this point, we believe the best chance of some rain and snow mixing is over portions of South/Central Jersey, the Jersey Shore and Southern Delaware. However, we are not ruling out impacts through Philadelphia and as far north as the Lehigh Valley. Let’s explain.

While computer models still are NOT in agreement, they’re more collectively recognizing the liklihood that a coastal low develops along the southern edge of the Carolina’s coast Monday afternoon. The model above (the American) shows rain moving into Southern Delaware and the South Jersey Monday afternoon. This is the latest model update for the American model as of Saturday morning.

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Now compare to the European model. Over the last couple of days, this model has pulled closer to land, now agreeing with the American model that a clipping of rain will occur Monday afternoon along our southern edge. The models are nearly identical as of Saturday morning (that’s a good sign!). 

Fast forward to Monday evening, the latest American model suggests the coastal low more closely approaches the Jersey Shore. As a result, the model has light to steady snow streching all the way into the Lehigh Valley, with heavier snow along the Shore overnight. But this forecast certainly isn’t set in stone. Take a look at the American models’ previous run:

It pulls a mix of rain and snow up through the Shore, Southern Delaware, and JUST south of the I-95 corridor (missing Philadelphia). This is a massive difference to the latest update, which indicates the forecast is still very difficult to pin down.

The European model differs as well, keeping everything offshore overnight. We currently are subscribing to the American models’ thoughts: snow/rain is possible Monday afternoon into early Tuesday, particularly in Southern Delaware, the Jersey Shore and South/Central New Jersey with lower chances in Philadelphia and northward. We haven’t ruled out snow in Philadelphia or the Suburbs/Lehigh/Berks areas. We just have much lower confidence that it will occur.

Of course, there are other models to add to the equation. The North American higher resolution model (NAM) has wavered back and forth between moving the storm out to sea, and bringing it closer to our coast as well (similar to the American GFS). The latest computer update as of Saturday morning indicates lighter snow falling from the Jersey Shore all the way up to the Lehigh Valley Monday night. Another model with this train of thought is the UKMET.  It’s been consistent, which means it’s something to watch. The RPM and Canadian model also have “flip-flopped” throughout Saturday morning’s model updates, now dragging light snow up to at least Philadlephia and the Suburbs.

The lack of consistency between models is pretty obvious, and makes it difficult to forecast the exact impacts. We hope trends will begin to develop over the next 24 hours, allowing us to pin down our exact expectations. For now, we’re sticking with the slightly more southerly track that brings a lower possibility (but not impossible) of snow for Philadelphia. In addition, most models indicate backside snow showers are likely Tuesday and possibly even Wednesday. These would not be heavy, and bring little if any accumulation. Regardless of current model discrepencies, it’s clear this is a storm we’ll be watching up until the minute it arrives. Keep up to date with us online, and on air.

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Fleeing Driver Strikes, Kills Woman in South Philly: Cops

March 10, 2018, 3:17 pm

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A fleeing driver struck and killed a woman in South Philadelphia, according to police.

Investigators say the driver of a white SUV was fleeing the scene of an accident on 23rd and Jackson streets shortly before 4:30 p.m. As he was driving, he struck multiple cars as well as a 46-year-old woman, police said.

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The woman was pronounced dead at the scene. The driver of the SUV was taken to the Penn Presbyterian Medical Center. Police have not yet revealed his condition or if anyone else was injured.

This story is developing. Check back for updates.

Editor's Note: Police initially told NBC10 two people died in the crash. They later corrected that information.

Photo Credit: NBC10